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to consist". The density will certainly increase in proceeding towards the centre, and there is a simple and probable law of this increase, which will give 1-300th for the ellipticity, and from the amount of two lunar inequalities, (one in latitude and one in longitude,) which are produced by the earth's oblateness. Nearly the same result follows from the quantity of nutation. Thus everything tends to convince us that the ellipticity cannot deviate much from this fraction.

Sect. 7.-Confirmation of the Newtonian Theory by Experiments on Attraction.

THE attraction of all the parts of the earth to one another was thus proved by experiments, in which the whole mass of the earth is concerned. But attempts have also been made to measure the attraction of smaller portions; as mountains, or artificial masses. This is an experiment of great difficulty; for the attraction of such masses must be compared with that of the earth, of which it is a scarcely-perceptible fraction; and, moreover, in the case of mountains, the effect of the mountain will be modified or disguised by unknown or unappreciable circumstances. In many of the measurements of degrees, indications of the attraction of mountains had been perceived; but at the suggestion of Mas

41 Airy. Fig. Earth, p. 235.

kelyne, the experiment was carefully made, in 1774, upon the mountain Schehallien, in Scotland. The result obtained was, that the attraction of the mountain drew the plumb-line about six seconds from the vertical; and it was deduced from this, by Hutton's calculations, that the density of the earth was about once and four-fifths that of Schehallien.

Cavendish, who had suggested many of the artifices in this calculation, himself made the experiment in the other form, by using leaden balls, about nine inches diameter. This observation was conducted with an extreme degree of ingenuity and delicacy, which could alone make it valuable; and the result agreed very nearly with that of the Schehallien experiment, giving for the density of the earth about five and onethird times that of water. Nearly the same result was obtained by Carlini, in 1824, from observations

of the pendulum, made at a point of the Alps (the Hospice, on Mount Cenis) at a considerable elevation above the average surface of the earth.

Sect. 8.-Application of the Newtonian Theory to the Tides.

WE come, finally, to that result, in which most remains to be done for the verification of the general law of attraction; the subject of the Tides. Yet, even here, the verification is striking as far as observations have been carried. Newton's theory explained, with singular felicity, all the prominent circumstances

of the tides then known; the difference of spring and neap tides; the effect of the moon's and sun's declination and parallax; even the difference of morning and evening tides, and the anomalous tides of particular places. About, and after, this time, attempts were made both by the Royal Society of England, and by the French Academy, to collect numerous observations; but these were not followed up with sufficient perseverance. Perhaps, indeed, the theory had not been at that time sufficiently developed; but the admirable prize-essays of Euler, Bernoulli, and D'Alembert, in 1740, removed, in a great measure, this deficiency. These dissertations supplied the means of bringing this subject to the same test to which all the other consequences of gravitation had been subjected:—namely, the calculation of tables, and the continued and orderly comparison of these with observation. Laplace has attempted this verification in another way, by calculating the results of the theory (which he has done with an extraordinary command of analysis,) and then by comparing these, in supposed critical cases, with the Brest observations. This method has confirmed the theory as far as it could do so; but such a process cannot supersede the necessity of applying the proper criterion of truth in such cases, the construction and verification of tables. Bernoulli's theory, on the other hand, has been used for the construction of Tide-tables; but these have not been properly compared with experiment; and when

the comparison has been made, having been executed for purposes of gain rather than of science, it has not been published, and cannot be quoted as a verification of the theory.

Thus we have, as yet, no sufficient comparison of fact with theory, for Laplace's is far from a complete comparison. In this, as in other parts of physical astronomy, our theory ought not only to agree with observations selected and grouped in a particular manner, but with the whole course of observation, and with every part of the phenomena. In this, as in other cases, the true theory should be verified by its giving us the best tables; but tide-tables were never, I believe, calculated upon Laplace's theory, and thus it was never fairly brought to the test.

It is, perhaps, remarkable, considering all the experience which astronomy had furnished, that men should have expected to reach the completion of this branch of science by improving the mathematical theory, without, at the same time, ascertaining the laws of the facts. In all other departments of astronomy, as, for instance, in the cases of the moon and the planets, the leading features of the phenomena had been made out empirically, before the theory explained them. The course which analogy would have recommended for the cultivation of our knowledge of the tides, would have been, to ascertain, by an analysis of long series of observations, the effect of changes in the time of transit, parallax, and declination of the moon, and thus to obtain the

laws of phenomena; and then to proceed to investigate the laws of causation.

Though this was not the course followed by mathematical theorists, it was really pursued by those who practically calculated tide-tables; and the application of knowledge to the useful purposes of life being thus separated from the promotion of the theory, was naturally treated as a gainful property, and preserved by secrecy. Art, in this instance, having cast off her legitimate subordination to science, or rather, being deprived of the guidance which it was the duty of science to afford, resumed her ancient practices of exclusiveness and mystery. Liverpool, London, and other places, had their tidetables, constructed by undivulged methods, which methods, in some instances at least, were handed down from father to son for several generations as a family-possession; and the publication of new tables accompanied by a statement of the mode of calculation, was resented as an infringement of the rights of property.

The mode in which these secret methods were invented, was that which we have pointed out ;--the analysis of a considerable series of observations. Probably the best example of this was afforded by the Liverpool tide-tables. These were deduced by a clergyman named Holden, from observations made at that port by a harbour-master of the name of Hutchinson; who was led, by a love of such pursuits, to observe the tides carefully for above twenty years, day

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